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Financial
Markets – what is going on: observations,
reflections, conclusions
Equity markets continue to be trapped in the whirlpool of desperate rescue operations against debt crisis and a weaker economy
Not only the captains’ nervousness in the deb-stricken Europe but also
the Fed’s steps against an economy that – during an election year! – is
not getting off the ground is affecting financial markets world-wide to
an extent that has become unbearable for “classic” investors. Apart
from unforeseeable hiatuses and tremendous sporadic swings, another
phenomenon becomes apparent: The enormous flooding of the financial
systems on both sides of the Atlantic with practically interest-free
liquidity has become the driving force of market-rallyes. The
development on the bourses has largely decoupled from a real economy
that would rather urge caution. Low turnover figures reveal the fact
that only a selected bunch of venturesome traders are taking part.
“Classic” investors seem to stay on the side-lines. These “bold”
traders seem to completely blind out the actual political and economic
risks. But how long such “happy-island turned” markets will be able to
hold remains to be seen. I shall provide some information for brave
investors wishing to try their luck with a limited amount in the last
paragraph of this report.
Is the showdown in the Euro-debt crisis imminent?
Until now, policy stake holders have succeeded quite well in kicking
the can further down the road and raising hopes again and again with a
high rate of summits. Even the bombshell of downgrading a large number
of Euro zone-countries by Standard & Poors could be defused
surprisingly well. But now, I have the impression …
(Wish to know what impression? Subscribe to this market report.)
8800 Thalwil, February 2012
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